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پولبک یا صعودی دیگر....؟؟
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پولبک یا صعودی دیگر….؟؟

مقدمه

افزایش روزهای اخیر قیمت دلار عموما به دلیل افزایش قیمت طلای آبشده ای است که دارای ضریب همبستگی بسیار بالایی با دلار است.بنابراین ورود نقدینگی به بازار طلای آبشده باعث افزایشهای روزهای اخیر قیمت آن در بازار غیر رسمی شده است که متعاقبا بر قیمت زعفران تاثیر گذاشته است.

در نمودار زیر در گواهی سپرده 9808 که به عنوان قیمت دارایی پایه قراردادهای آتی لحاظ میگردد ،انتظار افزایش قیمت این متغییر پس از خروج از روند نزولی آن میرود..تا زمانی که قیمت از روند نزولی خود خارج نشده است ،انتظار افزایش قیمت غیر منطقی است.

گواهی سپرده زعفران 9808

با توجه به پیش بینی افزایش قیمت در گواهی سپرده انتظار افزایش قیمت در نماد زعفران آتی تحویل فروردین 98 ، نیز میرود. نمودار زیر شرایط این صعود را از نگاه تکنیکالی تشریح میکند.

نمودار زعفران تحویل فروردین 98

 

لذا در صورت ادامه روند انتظار میرود قیمت زعفران پس از ریتریس منت صعود اخیرش به روند صعودی جدیدی وارد گردد.

واحد آتی و ابزار مشتقه کارگزاری ستاره جنوب

 


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ارسال یک نظر
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