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آعاز اصلاح تکنیکی قیمت زعفران
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آعاز اصلاح تکنیکی قیمت زعفران

سلام

در تحلیل های قبل آغاز قیمت زعفران نقدی و آتی را از ابتدا و با عنوان آزاد شدن فنر قیمت زعفران تحلیل و حال با اتمام موج 3 صعودی بزرگ آغاز اصلاح قیمت را پیش بینی و تحلیل میکنیم.در نمودار زیر نمودار گواهی سپرده نقدی زعفران را پیش بینی به کاهش و با استفاده از کانال فیبوناچی نموده ایم .

گواهی سپرده نقدی زعفران

 

بنابراین و بر اساس اصل دارایی پایه که همان زعفران نقدی است،پیش بینی به کاهش قیمت مینماییم که در نمودار زیر واگرایی کاملا مشهود است.هدف قیمت آتی تیرماه 98 حوالی 16100 تومان است.

 

نماد آتی زعفران تیرماه 98

 

اما همچنان قیمت دلار به عنوان مهمترین عامل تاثیر گذار در نوسان قیمت همواره از سوی تحلیل گران مورد تحلیل قرارمیگیرد.درصورتی که نمودار زیر بر اساس قیمتهای واقعی به نمایش در آمده باشد،واگرایی مشهود در قیمت دلار مشخص است و احتمال کاهش تا 13700 در قیمت دلار است.همچنان در ثبت قیمت دلار با فقط دیتا روبرو هستیم.

 

نمودار دلار

بنابراین در صورتی طی هفته آینده کاهش قیمت دلار تا مرز 13700 تومان اتفاق بی افتد ، میتوان شاهد کاهش بیشتر قیمت زعفران نیز بود.

فرزان سهرابی

واحد آتی و ابزار مشتقه شرکت کارگزاری ستاره جنوب.

 

 


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ارسال یک نظر
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